Lagos — Whether President Muhammadu Buhari or his main opponent, Atiku Abubakar, will win Nigeria’s election on Saturday has split analysts down the middle. Polls in Nigeria tend to be unreliable, given the difficulty of sampling a nation of 200-million people and factoring in rigging, which has marred almost every vote since Africa’s biggest oil producer got independence from the UK in 1960. Here are the forecasts of eight analysts, with four expecting that Buhari, a former general, will win a second term — and the same number predicting a victory for Abubakar, a businessman and former vice-president who’s pledged to privatise the state oil company and float the currency. Both men are Muslims from the north, which could make that area a crucial battleground. The election commission will probably announce the results early next week. Abubakar to win Fitch Solutions: Abubakar, who’s widely known as Atiku, has the edge given how Buhari’s “struggled to fulfill key election pledges’’ ma...

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