Moscow — Oil cartel Opec and its allies, which include Russia (Opec+) fear a prolonged second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic and a jump in Libyan output could push the oil market into surplus next year, according to a confidential document seen by Reuters, a gloomier outlook than just a month ago.

A panel of officials from Opec+, the joint technical committee (JTC), considered this worst-case scenario during a virtual monthly meeting on Thursday. In September, the panel had not seen a surplus under any scenarios it considered...

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