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Hong Kong — The global geopolitical environment is at its most dangerous in decades, according to Eurasia Group, the consultancy founded by Ian Bremmer. Here is a look at Eurasia’s top predictions for risks that could impact the world in 2019.
1. Bad seeds
Global decision-makers are so consumed with addressing — or failing to address — the daily crises that arise from a world without leadership that they are allowing a broad array of future risks to germinate, with serious consequences. The outlook for institutions like the EU and the World Trade Organisation, as well as the US-China relationship and that between Russia and its neighbours, is negative.
There has been a long-held view in Washington and Beijing that the best way to manage their rivalry was to try to keep the relationship as amicable as possible — for as long as possible. That has changed, especially in the US, which is embracing an openly confrontational approach under President Donald Trump amid a months-...
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