Following the adoption of credentials on Sunday, supporters of both Cyril Ramaphosa and Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma claimed the numerical advantage. The elective race at the ANC national conference under way is set to come down to the wire between the two and has been characterised by litigation and running battles between the camps. Both groups held caucuses with their delegates circulating pictures with hundreds of members singing praises to their candidates. It was remnant of scenes from the ANC’s Polokwane conference when Mluleki George of former president Thabo Mbeki’s camp declared victory before being left with egg on his face. They were roundly defeated by Zuma.

But which side will be humiliated this time around? According to the credentials, there are 4,776 voting delegates. The winning camp needs 2,389 to win. Ramaphosa’s backers claim that, following the credentials process, there are about 2,521 delegates who are set to vote for him. The Dlamini-Zuma camp claims that ab...

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