The ANC presidential race is set to go down to the wire, with swing provinces such as Mpumalanga rendering the fight too close to call. While many have placed Cyril Ramaphosa in the lead, it is clear from the numbers that a victory is not yet guaranteed for either side. His main opponent still remains Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, whose backers are confident of her chances, based on her backing in KwaZulu-Natal and the faction known as the premier league provinces. Number crunchers on both sides are claiming the upper hand, but the uncertainties about which way Mpumalanga, the party’s second-largest delegation to the conference, will go, continue to prevail. In addition, Business Day understands that the Free State and North West have largely kept their nomination results under wraps, lending further uncertainty to which way the race will swing. There are set to be 5,240 delegates at the conference. Number crunchers backing Ramaphosa said on Thursday there was a 75% probability that 70% o...

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