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Risk analysts have stuck out their necks and predicted that Cyril Ramaphosa is likely to emerge victorious in the ANC’s succession battle‚ but this may not translate into an easy ride for business.
Global consultancy Control Risks launched its 2017 Riskmap on Tuesday‚ forecasting the potential effect of political events on business.
In its southern African outlook‚ it found that succession politics had emerged as a trend in the risk profiles of countries in the region.
Angola‚ Zimbabwe‚ and SA are all due to see new leaders or prospective leaders chosen in the coming year.
Control Risks analyst Seamus Duggan said that in SA former African Union (AU) Commission chair Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma was likely to lose to Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa.
"There are two things we need to look at when we’re talking about the ANC succession. The first of them is whether Cyril Ramaphosa is able to split the KwaZulu-Natal branch delegate vote at the December 2017 conference.
"It has traditionally b...
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