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The election of the next leader of the ANC looks set to be a two-horse race. Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, the former chair of the African Union (AU) Commission, has an early edge in the battle to take over the helm of the party from her ex-husband President Jacob Zuma at its December national conference, according to 11 of 26 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg on February 13 and 14. Ten put Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa ahead, and five said the contest was too close to call or it was too early to select a frontrunner. The survey sought the views of politics professors and lecturers from 10 South African universities, country risk advisers and research-group analysts. "I doubt if there will be a third horse," said Tinyiko Maluleke, a political analyst at the University of Pretoria, who added it was too soon to predict who would win. While ANC tradition should dictate that Ramaphosa succeeds Zuma, there was a strong move within the 105-year-old party to appoint its first woman leader, he sa...

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