In case you hadn’t noticed, there’s a furious argument developing outside about how to revive the SA economy. Assume the worst. We were in recession and Moody’s Investors Service, the ratings agency, downgraded our debt to junk before the coronavirus struck. Finance minister Tito Mboweni had, a month before, delivered a budget deficit (all tiers of government) forecast of R370bn, or 6.8% of GDP, well above target. He said debt would rise to R3.5-trillion (a trillion is a thousand billion; a billion is a thousand million), or 65.6% of GDP, increasing to 71.6% by April 2023.

Our official rate of unemployment, already one of the highest in the world at 29%, rises to 43% (or by 3.2-million people in 2020) in the worst case of scenarios painted by Miriam Altman, a seasoned economic adviser to the state and former member of the national planning commission...

Subscribe now to unlock this article.

Support BusinessLIVE’s award-winning journalism for R129 per month (digital access only).

There’s never been a more important time to support independent journalism in SA. Our subscription packages now offer an ad-free experience for readers.

Cancel anytime.

Would you like to comment on this article?
Sign up (it's quick and free) or sign in now.

Speech Bubbles

Please read our Comment Policy before commenting.