Will the ANC survive the Zondo commission of inquiry, or will it turn out to be a manifesto for the opposition that will chip away at the governing party’s electoral fortunes until it is reduced to leader of a coalition government after the 2019 general election? Nhlanhla Nene, who quit last Monday, was the first sitting minister to testify before the commission chaired by deputy chief justice Raymond Zondo, which is investigating claims of corruption and state capture. Popular wisdom has it that Nene is also its first casualty, but it would be more accurate to say he is the first casualty of the civil war that is raging within the ANC. In KwaZulu-Natal, another commission, the Moerane inquiry into the killing of politicians, has revealed that ANC officials have been organising hits on each other for as little as R20,000 over competition for lucrative tenders. Until the establishment of the Zondo commission, one faction of the ANC believed the probe would vindicate it and strengthen...

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