Speaking to different audiences last week, I was very dismissive about the possibility that the ANC national executive committee (NEC) would support a motion calling for the removal of President Jacob Zuma as head of state. But, by Sunday afternoon, my levels of diffidence had risen to a state I have never experienced before. Staring me in the face were the prospects of being declared Mampara of the Week as one source after another, including Zuma’s supporters, kept on telling me "anything can happen". My angst was worsened by media reports that the motion of no confidence enjoyed the support of most NEC members. I asked myself two questions: How could I get it so wrong, and where did this majority come from? The second is the more critical question because what is clear is that victory for the anti-Zuma camp is contingent on the creation of a new majority in the leadership structures of the ANC, especially its NEC.While it is true that the momentum has been shifting away from Zuma ...

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