The ANC is in a state of terminal decline. It’s like watching a train wreck in slow motion. President Jacob Zuma’s cabinet reshuffle mobilised his opponents into action, bringing to the surface a battle that has been simmering for more than a year. But the road to his removal is a long and arduous one. It may even be an impossibility before the ANC’s national elective conference in December. The party’s national working committee has issued a strong directive for ANC members of Parliament not to vote with the opposition in its no-confidence bid. The only motion of no confidence that could succeed is one brought by the ANC itself, a decision that would have to emerge from the party’s national executive committee (NEC). Then again, the NEC could remove Zuma itself. The question is, has the tide turned against him among the party’s top brass – despite their "smallanyana skeletons"? Will our junk status, coupled with market jitters make a difference to the NEC members’ approach? It is c...

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