Gauteng 2019: The mother of all battles
Gareth van Onselen unpacks why the ANC, DA and EFF will throw everything they have at the 2019 national and provincial elections
At the heart of the 2019 national and provincial elections will be Gauteng. The 2016 local government election results suggest that, while the DA is growing and consolidating its position as an urban party, the ANC is in decline in the same constituency, as its political stronghold remains rural. Gauteng is where these two divergent forces will clash most significantly. It is going to be the mother of all political confrontations. And it is going to be close. It is difficult to set the scene with any precision this far out from an election: turnout; internal ANC political differences; the effect of party’s elective conference and voter apathy, among other things, are unknown or fluid. That said, it is possible generally to demonstrate just how tight both the race and the margins are going to be. Outside of its closeness, this analysis will attempt to demonstrate the following, with regards the three main protaganists — the ANC, DA and EFF: • For the ANC to secure more than 50%, it ...
Would you like to comment on this article?
Sign up (it's quick and free) or sign in now.
Please read our Comment Policy before commenting.
Subscribe now to unlock this article.
Support BusinessLIVE’s award-winning journalism for R129 per month (digital access only).
There’s never been a more important time to support independent journalism in SA. Our subscription packages now offer an ad-free experience for readers.
Cancel anytime.
Questions? Email helpdesk@businesslive.co.za or call 0860 52 52 00. Got a subscription voucher? Redeem it now.