HEATH MUCHENA: How bitcoin thrives on three forces shaping the world
Energy density, computation and network effects are determining the future
12 February 2025 - 05:00
byHeath Muchena
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The world is shifting fast. We’re in a new political landscape, with technology charging ahead at breakneck speed and investment opportunities evolving in ways few saw coming.
However, if you strip away the noise, three forces are quietly shaping the future: energy density, computation and network effects. They’re the foundation of everything from the industrial revolution to the AI boom we’re seeing today, and bitcoin sits right at the heart of all three.
Let’s talk about energy. Without it, nothing happens. Civilisation didn’t explode in the 19th and 20th centuries by accident — it happened because we figured out how to tap into high-density energy sources such as coal, oil and eventually nuclear power. Energy fuels everything: food production, transportation, manufacturing and now, increasingly, computation.
Bitcoin’s relationship with energy is often misunderstood. People say, “bitcoin wastes energy,” but in reality bitcoin monetises energy — especially energy that would otherwise be wasted. Think flared gas, stranded hydropower, or off-peak electricity from renewables. Unlike factories or cities that need energy in specific places, bitcoin mining is location-agnostic. It just chases the cheapest, most efficient energy, helping stabilise grids and making previously uneconomical energy sources viable.
This isn’t just theory — it’s happening now. Countries and companies leveraging energy effectively will dominate. Those that kneecap their own energy sectors in the name of short-term policies? They’ll fall behind. And bitcoin will keep thriving, because it follows the laws of physics and economics, not politics.
Computation
For most of human history energy went into moving physical things — ploughing fields, running machines, building cities. But now? A huge chunk of energy is going into computation.
AI is the biggest driver of this shift. We’ve spent decades creeping towards computers that can match and eventually surpass human brainpower. Now we’re there. AI is automating knowledge work, optimising businesses and rewriting how industries operate. And here’s where it gets interesting: bitcoin and AI are running on the same fuel — high-density computation.
Bitcoin’s proof-of-work system is a pure computational arms race. It converts energy into digital scarcity, something humanity has never seen before. And as AI demands more processing power, energy and advanced chips, bitcoin will be competing for those same resources. But it also stands to benefit — AI-driven mining optimisation, smarter market analytics and AI-powered security improvements will all feed into bitcoin’s growth.
Computation is the new industrial revolution and bitcoin is one of its firstborn digital-native assets. It’s not just along for the ride — it’s helping define the landscape.
Network
If you’ve ever tried switching from iMessage to another messaging app, or from Google to an obscure search engine, you know how powerful network effects are. The more people use something, the harder it is to displace.
Bitcoin has the strongest financial network effect on the planet. Every time a new investor, company or country adopts bitcoin, the entire network becomes stronger. The more liquidity, the more security. The more security, the more trust. The more trust, the more adoption. It’s a self-reinforcing cycle that’s nearly impossible to stop.
And here’s the kicker: network effects don’t just protect bitcoin — they allow it to outcompete everything else. Every altcoin claiming to be a “better bitcoin” has the same problem: it’s not bitcoin. The first-mover advantage in money, as in technology, is nearly impossible to overcome.
The same goes for fiat currencies. The dollar remains dominant not because it’s the best money, but because of its liquidity and network effects. But bitcoin is slowly eating into that dominance, offering an alternative financial network that governments can’t debase.
If you want to bet on the future you follow the big waves — energy density, computation and network effects. Bitcoin is tied into all of them.
It monetises energy in ways no other asset does.
It thrives on computation, securing a digital financial system through pure processing power.
It benefits from unstoppable network effects, making it harder and harder to compete with.
Are there booms and busts? Of course. Even the strongest trends overshoot and correct. But bitcoin, like AI and high-density energy, is a structural force not a passing trend. It’s been through multiple 75% crashes, and every time it has come back stronger. That’s not a coincidence — that’s network effects in action.
Energy is getting more expensive. Computation is eating the world. AI is reshaping industries. And through all of this bitcoin keeps securing block after block, growing its base and quietly embedding itself into the future of finance.
If you’re investing in the next decade, ask yourself: are you betting against energy efficiency? Are you on the wrong side of computation?Are you fighting network effects?
If the answer is yes, rethink your position. Because history has already shown which side of the trade wins.
• Muchena is founder of Proudly Associated and author of “Artificial Intelligence Applied” and “Tokenized Trillions”.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
HEATH MUCHENA: How bitcoin thrives on three forces shaping the world
Energy density, computation and network effects are determining the future
The world is shifting fast. We’re in a new political landscape, with technology charging ahead at breakneck speed and investment opportunities evolving in ways few saw coming.
However, if you strip away the noise, three forces are quietly shaping the future: energy density, computation and network effects. They’re the foundation of everything from the industrial revolution to the AI boom we’re seeing today, and bitcoin sits right at the heart of all three.
Let’s talk about energy. Without it, nothing happens. Civilisation didn’t explode in the 19th and 20th centuries by accident — it happened because we figured out how to tap into high-density energy sources such as coal, oil and eventually nuclear power. Energy fuels everything: food production, transportation, manufacturing and now, increasingly, computation.
Bitcoin’s relationship with energy is often misunderstood. People say, “bitcoin wastes energy,” but in reality bitcoin monetises energy — especially energy that would otherwise be wasted. Think flared gas, stranded hydropower, or off-peak electricity from renewables. Unlike factories or cities that need energy in specific places, bitcoin mining is location-agnostic. It just chases the cheapest, most efficient energy, helping stabilise grids and making previously uneconomical energy sources viable.
This isn’t just theory — it’s happening now. Countries and companies leveraging energy effectively will dominate. Those that kneecap their own energy sectors in the name of short-term policies? They’ll fall behind. And bitcoin will keep thriving, because it follows the laws of physics and economics, not politics.
Computation
For most of human history energy went into moving physical things — ploughing fields, running machines, building cities. But now? A huge chunk of energy is going into computation.
AI is the biggest driver of this shift. We’ve spent decades creeping towards computers that can match and eventually surpass human brainpower. Now we’re there. AI is automating knowledge work, optimising businesses and rewriting how industries operate. And here’s where it gets interesting: bitcoin and AI are running on the same fuel — high-density computation.
Bitcoin’s proof-of-work system is a pure computational arms race. It converts energy into digital scarcity, something humanity has never seen before. And as AI demands more processing power, energy and advanced chips, bitcoin will be competing for those same resources. But it also stands to benefit — AI-driven mining optimisation, smarter market analytics and AI-powered security improvements will all feed into bitcoin’s growth.
Computation is the new industrial revolution and bitcoin is one of its firstborn digital-native assets. It’s not just along for the ride — it’s helping define the landscape.
Network
If you’ve ever tried switching from iMessage to another messaging app, or from Google to an obscure search engine, you know how powerful network effects are. The more people use something, the harder it is to displace.
Bitcoin has the strongest financial network effect on the planet. Every time a new investor, company or country adopts bitcoin, the entire network becomes stronger. The more liquidity, the more security. The more security, the more trust. The more trust, the more adoption. It’s a self-reinforcing cycle that’s nearly impossible to stop.
And here’s the kicker: network effects don’t just protect bitcoin — they allow it to outcompete everything else. Every altcoin claiming to be a “better bitcoin” has the same problem: it’s not bitcoin. The first-mover advantage in money, as in technology, is nearly impossible to overcome.
The same goes for fiat currencies. The dollar remains dominant not because it’s the best money, but because of its liquidity and network effects. But bitcoin is slowly eating into that dominance, offering an alternative financial network that governments can’t debase.
If you want to bet on the future you follow the big waves — energy density, computation and network effects. Bitcoin is tied into all of them.
Are there booms and busts? Of course. Even the strongest trends overshoot and correct. But bitcoin, like AI and high-density energy, is a structural force not a passing trend. It’s been through multiple 75% crashes, and every time it has come back stronger. That’s not a coincidence — that’s network effects in action.
Energy is getting more expensive. Computation is eating the world. AI is reshaping industries. And through all of this bitcoin keeps securing block after block, growing its base and quietly embedding itself into the future of finance.
If you’re investing in the next decade, ask yourself: are you betting against energy efficiency? Are you on the wrong side of computation? Are you fighting network effects?
If the answer is yes, rethink your position. Because history has already shown which side of the trade wins.
• Muchena is founder of Proudly Associated and author of “Artificial Intelligence Applied” and “Tokenized Trillions”.
READ MORE BY HEATH MUCHENA:
HEATH MUCHENA: Bitcoin the biggest winner in trade wars
HEATH MUCHENA: The AI tipping point — can we keep up with the future?
HEATH MUCHENA: Bitcoin’s a lifeboat in stormy seas
HEATH MUCHENA: Trump, trade and crypto: why bitcoin will trigger a global financial reset
HEATH MUCHENA: How bitcoin and stablecoins are reshaping money movement
HEATH MUCHENA: Why bitcoin’s bull market may defy historical patterns
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