The final election poll conducted by the Institute for Race Relations (IRR) indicates that the ANC could get below 55% and lose its majority in Gauteng and its stronghold of KwaZulu-Natal. This would depend on the last four days, turnout, and taking into account the margin of error, the IRR said. The latest poll was conducted between April 27 and May 4. Last week, the poll showed that on the national ballot, the ANC had lost its majority dropping to 49.5%, down 5.2 percentage points from the IRR’s previous poll in February. On a 70% turnout model, a scenario considered plausible for this week’s election, the ANC polled at 53%, while the DA was 24% —an increase from the 22.23% it received in 2014. The EFF would increase to 14% from the 6.35% it received at the last national election. Wednesday’s election is touted as the most contested since 1994 with the main battleground expected to be Gauteng where, if ANC is brought below 50%, a coalition government or a minority government will...

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