Young South Africans are turning their backs on elective politics at the fastest pace in at least two decades, a trend that may hurt the ruling party in next week’s vote.

The number of South Africans under 20 who have registered to participate in the May 8 general election has dropped to the lowest level since at least 1999, data from the SA Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) shows. Among citizens aged 18 to 29 — the biggest segment of the voting population — registrations are at the lowest in at least a decade.

The move may damage the ANC, whose leaders have been named in a string of corruption scandals and have presided over a jobless rate that has persisted at a 15-year high of 27%. This could also limit the benefits for the EFF, which is counting on support from young black South Africans with populist policies such as expropriation of land without compensation.

Voter apathy

“There is an element of voter apathy and not political apathy — in universities, you see robust and noisy politics, which is usually powerful enough to effect change,” said Mpumelelo Mkhabela, an independent political analyst. “The EFF has helped energise young people. A lot of people on campuses vote for the EFF. The ANC Youth League has [become] disorganised.”

Protests have worked well for students. Sometimes-violent demonstrations in 2015 and 2016 forced the government under former president Jacob Zuma to promise free tertiary education for children from poor families, straining an already tight national budget. The protests caused millions of rand of damages to campus property, according to Universities SA. A new round of protests this year over student accommodation, food, registration fees and problems with financial-aid administration saw campuses closed nationwide in February and March.

More than half of South Africans aged 15 to 24 seeking work are unemployed, with the rate vying with Bosnia and Herzegovina and neighboring Eswatini’s to be the world’s worst, World Bank data shows.

While President Cyril Ramaphosa has pledged reforms to boost a sluggish economy, the government has fallen short in addressing disgruntlement in many poor communities over a lack of electricity, water, houses and jobs. SA remains one of the world’s most unequal nations and the economy hasn’t expanded by more than 2% a year since 2013.

Manifesto promises

For Lindelwa Nhlebela, a third-year engineering student at Wits, who hasn’t registered to vote, parties tailor their manifestos to entice voters, but don’t deliver on them. “Politics doesn’t directly affect me and I can’t directly affect it because it’s a game,” she said.

“Exposure of corruption has become detrimental towards parties because youngsters start to think, ‘What is the use in voting if they’re going to be given a mandate and just go with it’,” said Dirk Kotze, a political-science professor at Unisa.

The ANC, which polls suggest will keep its majority in the May ballot, is promising youth internships and removing work experience as a requirement for employment of young people in the public sector.

The EFF plans to make it compulsory for women and youth to control half the board and management of companies with insurance licences, according to its manifesto. Black people enrolled in doctoral-study programmes will receive R1m each, it said.

The DA, currently the biggest opposition party, says it will provide access to a national civilian-service programme that would give young school leavers an opportunity to receive industry training in the fields of their choice.

Martin Coetzee, a dramatic-arts student at Wits didn’t get around to registering. “I am not” signed up to vote. “It’s purely based on time. I haven’t had time.”

With Amogelang Mbatha