Oil near one-month low with markets eyeing possible Israel- Hezbollah ceasefire
Opec+ is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day in December
30 October 2024 - 09:15
bylaila kear and Trixie Yap
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New York/Singapore — Oil prices held at more than one-month lows, after sliding in the previous two sessions, as markets weighed a potential ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and rising Opec+ crude supplies against a possible drop in US fuel stocks.
Brent crude futures gained 38c, or 0.5%, to $71.50 a barrel by 4.51am GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 43c, or 0.6%, to $67.64 per barrel.
Prices fell for a second straight session on Tuesday when an Axios reporter said on X that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would hold an imminent meeting with several ministers, the heads of the military and intelligence community about talks on a diplomatic solution to the war in Lebanon.
A deal that would end the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah could be achieved within a few weeks, Israeli and US officials said, according to Axios.
“A hefty plunge in oil prices since the start of the week may call for an attempt to stabilise in today’s session, but overall gains remain limited, given the lack of bullish catalysts to drive a more sustained up-move,” said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong in an email.
“A ceasefire deal in the Middle East is on the table, which reduces the risks of a wider escalation affecting oil production, while we still have Opec+ unwinding of production cuts on the horizon,” he added.
Opec+, which groups Opec and allies such as Russia, is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day in December. The group has cut output by a total of 5.86-million bpd, equivalent to about 5.7% of global oil demand.
Attention in oil markets was likely to shift back to Opec, given the planned output raise from December, while weak demand in China would also be in focus, ANZ analysts said in a client note.
Meanwhile, US crude oil and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said on Tuesday, citing American Petroleum Institute figures.
Crude stocks dipped by 573,000 barrels in the week ended October 25, the sources said on condition of anonymity. Petrol inventories lost 282,000 barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 1.46-million barrels, the sources said.
Nine analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 2.2-million barrel rise in crude inventories.
Official US government data is scheduled to be released later on Wednesday.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
Oil near one-month low with markets eyeing possible Israel- Hezbollah ceasefire
Opec+ is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day in December
New York/Singapore — Oil prices held at more than one-month lows, after sliding in the previous two sessions, as markets weighed a potential ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and rising Opec+ crude supplies against a possible drop in US fuel stocks.
Brent crude futures gained 38c, or 0.5%, to $71.50 a barrel by 4.51am GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 43c, or 0.6%, to $67.64 per barrel.
Prices fell for a second straight session on Tuesday when an Axios reporter said on X that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would hold an imminent meeting with several ministers, the heads of the military and intelligence community about talks on a diplomatic solution to the war in Lebanon.
A deal that would end the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah could be achieved within a few weeks, Israeli and US officials said, according to Axios.
“A hefty plunge in oil prices since the start of the week may call for an attempt to stabilise in today’s session, but overall gains remain limited, given the lack of bullish catalysts to drive a more sustained up-move,” said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong in an email.
“A ceasefire deal in the Middle East is on the table, which reduces the risks of a wider escalation affecting oil production, while we still have Opec+ unwinding of production cuts on the horizon,” he added.
Opec+, which groups Opec and allies such as Russia, is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day in December. The group has cut output by a total of 5.86-million bpd, equivalent to about 5.7% of global oil demand.
Attention in oil markets was likely to shift back to Opec, given the planned output raise from December, while weak demand in China would also be in focus, ANZ analysts said in a client note.
Meanwhile, US crude oil and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said on Tuesday, citing American Petroleum Institute figures.
Crude stocks dipped by 573,000 barrels in the week ended October 25, the sources said on condition of anonymity. Petrol inventories lost 282,000 barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 1.46-million barrels, the sources said.
Nine analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 2.2-million barrel rise in crude inventories.
Official US government data is scheduled to be released later on Wednesday.
Reuters
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