Gold climbs to two-week high on hope for September rate cut

Bengaluru — Gold prices hit a two-week high on Thursday as US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September.

Spot gold was little changed at $2,444.88/oz by 4.19am GMT, after hitting its highest since July 18 earlier in the session. Prices were just $39 shy of the record high of $2,483.60 scaled on July 17. US gold futures firmed 0.7% to $2,489.10.

“The trend for gold remains bullish and prices should hit $2,500 this year as the Fed lowers interest rates,” said Peter Fung, head of dealing at Wing Fung Precious Metals.

Powell said on Wednesday that rates could be cut as soon as September if the US economy followed its expected path, putting the central bank near the end of a more than two-year battle against inflation.

Zero-yield gold tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.

“Gold bugs may want to warrant some caution above $2,500, given gold’s reluctance to hold onto gains around these levels,” City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.

Market focus shifts to Friday’s US payrolls report.

“If the data comes in much hotter than expected, that could dent gold as we head towards the weekend,” Simpson said.

Elsewhere, Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in the Iranian capital Tehran early on Wednesday morning, an attack that drew threats of revenge on Israel and fuelled further concerns that the conflict in Gaza was turning into a wider Middle East war.

Geopolitics was increasingly more supportive for gold in the medium and long term, Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP SA said in a note.

Spot silver fell 0.4% to $28.92, platinum lost 0.4% to $973.85 and palladium eased 0.1% at $923.95.

Key metals consumer China’s manufacturing activity in July shrank for the first time in nine months, a private sector survey showed.

Reuters