Global investors await US inflation data due this week
09 January 2024 - 07:36
byScott Murdoch
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Sydney — Asia’s stock indices were mostly higher on Tuesday after a tech-led surge on Wall Street as investors await the next set of US inflation numbers due this week, which could hint at when the Federal Reserve might start cutting interest rates.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.5% after US stocks ended the previous session with gains.
Australian shares were up 1.17%, while Japan’s Nikkei stock index was trading 1.6% higher. In Australia, the S&P/ASX200 bounced higher after November retail sales grew by 2% month on month after a 0.2% contraction in October. The result was higher than the 1.2% forecast in a Reuters poll.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was up 0.26%, while China’s blue-chip CSI300 index fell 0.21%.
The dollar dropped 0.21% against the yen to 143.9 . It is still some distance from its high this year of 145.98 on January 5.
The yen was little changed after Tokyo core inflation data slowed for the second month in December, new data showed on Tuesday. The result is expected to take some pressure that might encourage the Bank of Japan to quickly exit ultra-loose monetary policy.
The European single currency was up 0.1% at $1.0957, having lost 0.72% in a month, while the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies of other trading partners, was down at 102.19.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.58% on Monday, the S&P 500 gained 1.41%, and the Nasdaq climbed 2.2% after a strong surge in US tech stocks.
In early trade on Tuesday, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 4.0267% compared with its US close of 4.002% on Monday. The two-year yield, which rises with traders’ expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 4.3746%, compared with a US close of 4.345%.
Atlanta Federal Reserve president Raphael Bostic said on Monday that with inflation still above the central bank’s 2% target, his bias was towards keeping monetary policy tight. However, he reiterated his earlier view that he does anticipate rate reductions this year, with two quarter percentage point cuts likely needed by the end of 2024.
December’s US consumer price index (CPI) reading will be published on Thursday and is expected to show headline inflation rose 0.2% in the month and by 3.2% on an annual basis.
“We expect the Fed’s current restrictive settings will continue to slow demand and help the economy return to greater equilibrium,” ANZ economists wrote on Tuesday. “Expectations for an early rate cut ... are high with the market putting a 50% chance on a March rate cut. We are less optimistic and believe the Fed will be patient, wanting greater certainty before starting a cutting cycle.”
US crude ticked up 0.16% to $70.88 a barrel. Brent crude fell to $76.27 per barrel. Gold was slightly lower. Spot gold was traded at $2027.7766 per ounce.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
Asian markets gain after Wall Street tech surge
Global investors await US inflation data due this week
Sydney — Asia’s stock indices were mostly higher on Tuesday after a tech-led surge on Wall Street as investors await the next set of US inflation numbers due this week, which could hint at when the Federal Reserve might start cutting interest rates.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.5% after US stocks ended the previous session with gains.
Australian shares were up 1.17%, while Japan’s Nikkei stock index was trading 1.6% higher. In Australia, the S&P/ASX200 bounced higher after November retail sales grew by 2% month on month after a 0.2% contraction in October. The result was higher than the 1.2% forecast in a Reuters poll.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was up 0.26%, while China’s blue-chip CSI300 index fell 0.21%.
The dollar dropped 0.21% against the yen to 143.9 . It is still some distance from its high this year of 145.98 on January 5.
The yen was little changed after Tokyo core inflation data slowed for the second month in December, new data showed on Tuesday. The result is expected to take some pressure that might encourage the Bank of Japan to quickly exit ultra-loose monetary policy.
The European single currency was up 0.1% at $1.0957, having lost 0.72% in a month, while the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies of other trading partners, was down at 102.19.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.58% on Monday, the S&P 500 gained 1.41%, and the Nasdaq climbed 2.2% after a strong surge in US tech stocks.
In early trade on Tuesday, the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 4.0267% compared with its US close of 4.002% on Monday. The two-year yield, which rises with traders’ expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 4.3746%, compared with a US close of 4.345%.
Atlanta Federal Reserve president Raphael Bostic said on Monday that with inflation still above the central bank’s 2% target, his bias was towards keeping monetary policy tight. However, he reiterated his earlier view that he does anticipate rate reductions this year, with two quarter percentage point cuts likely needed by the end of 2024.
December’s US consumer price index (CPI) reading will be published on Thursday and is expected to show headline inflation rose 0.2% in the month and by 3.2% on an annual basis.
“We expect the Fed’s current restrictive settings will continue to slow demand and help the economy return to greater equilibrium,” ANZ economists wrote on Tuesday. “Expectations for an early rate cut ... are high with the market putting a 50% chance on a March rate cut. We are less optimistic and believe the Fed will be patient, wanting greater certainty before starting a cutting cycle.”
US crude ticked up 0.16% to $70.88 a barrel. Brent crude fell to $76.27 per barrel. Gold was slightly lower. Spot gold was traded at $2027.7766 per ounce.
Reuters
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