Metal hardly changed as initial safe-haven demand from the Middle East conflict fades
09 November 2023 - 08:38
byBrijesh Patel
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Bengaluru — Gold prices lingered near a three-week low on Thursday as the initial safe-haven demand from the Middle East conflict faded, while investors awaited comments from US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for more clues on interest rates.
Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,948.39/oz by 3.37am GMT after hitting its lowest since October 19 on Wednesday. US gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,953.50.
A slew of Fed officials who spoke this week maintained a balanced tone on the US central bank’s next decision, but noted that they would focus on economic data and the effect of higher long-term bond yields.
Powell did not comment on monetary policy or the economic outlook in prepared remarks at a conference on Wednesday. He is scheduled to speak at another conference later in the day.
“He’ll [Powell] probably try to maintain the higher-for-longer narrative because it’s not within their interest to admit to markets that cuts might be coming,” City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
“Gold would have the potential to retest and break above $2,000, but now is not the time.”
Futures point to a roughly 14% chance of another hike by January, but are pricing in an 18% chance that rate cuts could come as early as March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Lower interest rates boost the appeal of zero-yield bullion.
“The war-risk premium has also faded as the Israel-Hamas war shows little sign of escalating. However, strong central bank buying remains a supportive factor [for gold],” ANZ analysts said in a note.
Gold prices rose above the key $2,000/oz level last week after escalating tensions in the Middle East lifted demand.
Spot silver fell 0.5% to $22.41/oz, while platinum gained 0.4% to $869.70.
Palladium slipped 0.9% to $1,040.77, hovering near its lowest level since 2018.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
Gold stays close to three-week low
Metal hardly changed as initial safe-haven demand from the Middle East conflict fades
Bengaluru — Gold prices lingered near a three-week low on Thursday as the initial safe-haven demand from the Middle East conflict faded, while investors awaited comments from US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for more clues on interest rates.
Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,948.39/oz by 3.37am GMT after hitting its lowest since October 19 on Wednesday. US gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,953.50.
A slew of Fed officials who spoke this week maintained a balanced tone on the US central bank’s next decision, but noted that they would focus on economic data and the effect of higher long-term bond yields.
Powell did not comment on monetary policy or the economic outlook in prepared remarks at a conference on Wednesday. He is scheduled to speak at another conference later in the day.
“He’ll [Powell] probably try to maintain the higher-for-longer narrative because it’s not within their interest to admit to markets that cuts might be coming,” City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
“Gold would have the potential to retest and break above $2,000, but now is not the time.”
Futures point to a roughly 14% chance of another hike by January, but are pricing in an 18% chance that rate cuts could come as early as March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Lower interest rates boost the appeal of zero-yield bullion.
“The war-risk premium has also faded as the Israel-Hamas war shows little sign of escalating. However, strong central bank buying remains a supportive factor [for gold],” ANZ analysts said in a note.
Gold prices rose above the key $2,000/oz level last week after escalating tensions in the Middle East lifted demand.
Spot silver fell 0.5% to $22.41/oz, while platinum gained 0.4% to $869.70.
Palladium slipped 0.9% to $1,040.77, hovering near its lowest level since 2018.
Reuters
MARKET WRAP: JSE firmer on US interest rates hopes
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JSE firmer, with focus on Powell's address
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