Oil adds to gains after EU’s Russian sanctions plan
Analysts say further increases are possible because the proposed embargo by the trading bloc isn’t fully priced in yet
05 May 2022 - 13:01
byBozorgmehr Sharafedin
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London — Oil prices extended gains on Thursday on supply concerns after the EU laid out plans for new sanctions against Russia, including an embargo on crude in six months, offsetting concerns about weaker Chinese demand.
Brent was up 36c, or 0.3%, at $110.50 a barrel by 8.25am GMT, and West Texas Intermediate rose 11c, or 0.1%, to $107.92. Both benchmarks gained more than $5 a barrel on Wednesday.
The sanctions proposal, which needs unanimous backing by the 27 EU countries, also includes phasing out imports of Russian refined products by the end of 2022, and a ban on all shipping and insurance services for the transportation of Russian oil.
“The oil market has not fully priced in the potential of an EU oil embargo, so higher crude prices are to be expected in the summer months if it’s voted into law,” said Bjørnar Tonhaugen, Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets research.
The French environment and energy minister, Barbara Pompili, said she was confident EU member states will reach a consensus on sanctions by the end of this week.
“The planned EU oil embargo represents a massive logistical challenge for oil markets,” said Investec’s head of commodities, Callum Macpherson. “Re-routing Russian output from Europe to willing buyers in Asia, in the presence of sanctions, is already so challenging that even Russia has admitted its production will decline significantly.”
Meanwhile, in its meeting on Thursday, Opec and allied producers, collectively known as Opec+, are likely to stick to modest output increases, arguing that it isn’t responsible for geopolitics and supply disruptions.
Opec secretary-general Mohammad Barkindo reiterated it wasn’t possible for other producers to replace Russian supply, but expressed concerns about slowing demand for transportation fuels and petrochemicals in the world’s top importer, China, because of prolonged Covid-19 lockdowns.
A private-sector survey on Thursday showed China’s services sector activity contracted at the second-steepest rate on record in April under the effect of pandemic measures.
In Iran, surging oil prices have given its energy-reliant economy a breather and hence its clerical rulers are in no rush to revive a 2015 nuclear pact with world powers to ease sanctions, three officials familiar with Tehran’s thinking said.
In the US, crude stocks were up 1.2-million barrels last week after more oil was released from strategic reserves, according to the Energy Information Administration.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
Oil adds to gains after EU’s Russian sanctions plan
Analysts say further increases are possible because the proposed embargo by the trading bloc isn’t fully priced in yet
London — Oil prices extended gains on Thursday on supply concerns after the EU laid out plans for new sanctions against Russia, including an embargo on crude in six months, offsetting concerns about weaker Chinese demand.
Brent was up 36c, or 0.3%, at $110.50 a barrel by 8.25am GMT, and West Texas Intermediate rose 11c, or 0.1%, to $107.92. Both benchmarks gained more than $5 a barrel on Wednesday.
The sanctions proposal, which needs unanimous backing by the 27 EU countries, also includes phasing out imports of Russian refined products by the end of 2022, and a ban on all shipping and insurance services for the transportation of Russian oil.
“The oil market has not fully priced in the potential of an EU oil embargo, so higher crude prices are to be expected in the summer months if it’s voted into law,” said Bjørnar Tonhaugen, Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets research.
The French environment and energy minister, Barbara Pompili, said she was confident EU member states will reach a consensus on sanctions by the end of this week.
“The planned EU oil embargo represents a massive logistical challenge for oil markets,” said Investec’s head of commodities, Callum Macpherson. “Re-routing Russian output from Europe to willing buyers in Asia, in the presence of sanctions, is already so challenging that even Russia has admitted its production will decline significantly.”
Meanwhile, in its meeting on Thursday, Opec and allied producers, collectively known as Opec+, are likely to stick to modest output increases, arguing that it isn’t responsible for geopolitics and supply disruptions.
Opec secretary-general Mohammad Barkindo reiterated it wasn’t possible for other producers to replace Russian supply, but expressed concerns about slowing demand for transportation fuels and petrochemicals in the world’s top importer, China, because of prolonged Covid-19 lockdowns.
A private-sector survey on Thursday showed China’s services sector activity contracted at the second-steepest rate on record in April under the effect of pandemic measures.
In Iran, surging oil prices have given its energy-reliant economy a breather and hence its clerical rulers are in no rush to revive a 2015 nuclear pact with world powers to ease sanctions, three officials familiar with Tehran’s thinking said.
In the US, crude stocks were up 1.2-million barrels last week after more oil was released from strategic reserves, according to the Energy Information Administration.
Reuters
Oil prices jump nearly 3%
Oil climbs as the EU considers new sanctions against Russia
Iran shrugs off US nuclear talks as rising oil prices buoy leaders
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