Oil rebounds as Saudi Arabia hikes prices and Iran nuclear talks hit snag
Top exporter raises January selling rates for crude grades sold to Asia and the US by up to US80c
Singapore — Oil prices rose by more than $1 a barrel on Monday after top exporter Saudi Arabia raised prices for its crude sold to Asia and the US, and as indirect US-Iran talks on reviving a nuclear deal appeared to hit an impasse.
Brent crude futures for February gained $1.39, or 2%, to $71.27 a barrel by 6.58am while US West Texas Intermediate crude for January were at $67.66 a barrel, up $1.40, or 2.1%.
On Sunday, Saudi Arabia raised January official selling prices for all crude grades sold to Asia and the US by up to US80c from the previous month.
The price hikes were implemented despite a decision last week by Opec and their allies including Russia, a group known as Opec+, to continue increasing supplies by 400,000 barrels per day in January.
Prices were also buoyed by diminishing prospects of a rise in Iranian oil exports after indirect US-Iranian talks on saving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal broke off last week. European officials voiced dismay on Friday at sweeping demands by Iran’s new, hardline government. The talks are expected to resume middle of this week.
“While the group [Opec+] has maintained that the decision was purely based on market fundamentals, it is difficult not to see the hand of the US at play, particularly given the visit this week of a US delegation to the kingdom,” consultancy JBC Energy said in a note.
“It is almost certain that the Iranian situation was discussed, and Saudi Arabia’s approval of the production hike suggests a compromise has been reached and that an improvement in relations with the Biden administration is on the cards.”
Despite the planned increase, Russia’s total output had failed to rise as its major producers are probably facing technical difficulties in raising output in line with current agreement, the consultancy said.
Both benchmarks rebounded after falling last week for their sixth consecutive week for the first time since November 2018 on concerns that the new coronavirus variant Omicron could impact global economic growth and fuel demand.
In another sign of the turmoil unleashed by the ever-changing pandemic, the head of the IMF said the global lender is likely to lower its global economic growth estimates because of the new variant.
Consultancy JBC Energy has revised lower its base case crude demand outlook over December and January by about 300,000 barrels per day.
The revision has erased most of the supply tightness the market has seen previously, it added.
Omicron spread to about one-third of US states by Sunday.
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