Oil slide continues ahead of Iran nuclear talks
Singapore — Oil prices extended declines on Thursday, pushing US futures below $80 a barrel, after Iran and world powers agreed to resume nuclear talks in November that could lead to the removal of US sanctions on Iranian oil, increasing global supplies.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slid for a third day to $79.98 a barrel by 3.26am GMT, down 88 US cents, or 1.1%. Brent crude futures for January fell for a second session to $81.33 a barrel, down 66 US cents, or 0.8%.
Both benchmarks on Wednesday posted their biggest daily percentage declines since early August, with Brent closing at its lowest level since October 7 and WTI since October 13, after weekly inventory data from the US Energy Information Administration showed a larger than expected rise in crude stocks last week.
“The fall in oil prices overnight was likely partly due to the rise in US oil stockpiles,” Commonwealth Bank commodities analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note.
“The more dominant driver of the decline in oil prices was Iran’s announcement that the US and Iran will resume talks on reviving a nuclear accord.”
Tehran and six powers will start talks on reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal on November 29. Iran has demanded that the US remove sanctions that have been limiting its oil exports.
“We think [Iranian President Ebrahim] Raisi is still keen to strike a deal, despite his differences with the US, because of the economic windfall from US sanctions being lifted,” Dhar said, referring to the country’s newly elected president.
Later on Thursday, oil cartel Opec and its allies including Russia, a group known as Opec+, will meet. The group is expected to reconfirm plans to keep monthly supply increases steady despite calls for an acceleration.
“The majority of Opec+ members cannot raise production from current levels ... while even Saudi Arabia has stressed the need to exercise caution on demand growth given increased Covid instances, while boosting crude oil output,” Citi analysts said.
Opec+ was likely to stick to its current policy despite pressure from oil importers, they added.
Also, top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia are more confident higher oil prices will not elicit a fast response from the US shale industry, Opec+ sources said, reflecting a desire to rebuild revenue and supporting the case against raising Opec+ output more quickly.
However, several major oil companies are planning to increase output or shale spending in 2022, which could undercut Opec+’s efforts to control supplies and support prices.
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