Oil prices continue fall but analysts bullish about longer-term outlook
Faltering vaccine rollouts and increasing US oil inventories are driving sentiment
London — Oil prices fell for a fifth day running on Thursday after official data showed a further increase in US crude and fuel inventories while the ever-present Covid-19 pandemic clouded the prospects for demand recovery.
Brent crude fell 50 US cents, or 0.74%, to $67.50 a barrel by 11.50am GMT after dropping 0.82% on Wednesday. US oil was down 53c, or 0.82%, at $64.07 after shedding 0.3% in the previous session. Both contracts are down nearly 3% over the past five days.
“Short-term developments — stuttering vaccine rollouts and the build in US oil inventories — are driving sentiment, but the longer-term oil outlook is still encouraging,” said PVM Oil Associates analyst Tamas Varga.
“Yesterday’s US Federal Reserve meeting provided a boost to equities ... US economic growth has been revised upwards while unemployment is expected to decline.”
Government data on Wednesday showed US crude inventories have risen for four straight weeks after severe cold weather forced shutdowns at refineries in the south. An industry report estimating a decline had raised hopes of a halt to the gains.
US crude inventories rose by 2.4-million barrels last week, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, a day after the American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that there had been a one-million barrel decline.
Varga added that the market would be waiting for US manufacturing data next week for further indications on the health of the world’s largest economy.
A slowdown in some vaccination programmes and the prospect of more restrictions to control the coronavirus tempered expectations for a recovery in fuel use.
Britain said on Thursday that global supply bumps meant its vaccine rollout would be slower than hoped in the coming weeks but it expected deliveries to increase from May.
A number of European countries have halted use of the AstraZeneca shot because of concerns about possible side effects, though the World Health Organisation said that Europe should continue to use the vaccine.
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