Global stocks reach record highs on UK vaccine promise
Eurozone economic data highlights ongoing Covid-19 pain as Brexit talks make little progress and a US relief package has yet to be signed
London — European shares opened lower on Thursday after gains spurred by advances in vaccines to fight Covid-19, but data across Europe underscored the economic damage still being caused by the pandemic.
Markets were keeping an eye on talks between Britain and the EU on a trade deal, with less than a month to go before the UK’s full departure from the EU.
Global stocks reached record highs, sending the dollar lower as investor appetite for riskier assets was whetted by news that Britain would start rolling out a Covid-19 vaccine next week, lifting prospects for economic recovery.
The dollar index slipped to a 2.5-year low of 90.948 on Thursday and was last at 90.968. The MSCI’s gauge of stocks around the globe hit another record high.
“The UK stole a march on the rest of Europe and we had a little bit of a feel-good factor yesterday. I am a lot more optimistic about equity markets than I was a month ago,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets.
The Stoxx index of European companies was flat, dragged down by a 0.2% drop in Frankfurt and Paris blue chips. The FTSE 100 hit June highs. Investors hope that a fresh round of weak economic data in Europe and the US will finally persuade policymakers to agree the stimulus packages that have so far eluded them.
There is still no deal yet in the US Congress on a $908bn boost to the world’s biggest economy, and the EU has yet to nail down an economic package agreed in principle as the eurozone economy struggles.
The IHS Markit purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for November in Spain shrank to 39.5 — below the 50 level separating growth from contraction. Italy’s services contracted for a fourth month running, with the IHS Markit business activity index for services dropping to 39.4.
CMC’s Hewson said such figures were “abysmal” and likely to remain below 45 until January.
A Reuters polls forecast the eurozone economy would shrink again this quarter as renewed lockdown measures stifle activity, with the economy taking two years to regain pre-crisis levels.
Eurozone government bonds held ground on Thursday with Germany’s 10-year bund yield down about one basis point to -0.53%.
Britain’s education minister, Gavin Williamson, said good progress is being made in talks with the EU on a trade deal as the Brexit deadline approaches. Irish foreign minister Simon Coveney said he believes there is a good chance of a deal within days.
Sterling clung on to $1.34 thanks to broad dollar weakness, but derivative markets were flashing red on doubts that Britain can strike a Brexit trade deal with the EU before the UK’s exit from the single market on December 31.
Asian shares were mixed on Thursday after a choppy day of Wall Street trade, thanks in part to a disappointing US jobs report.
The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is holding its advisory committee meeting next week, while New York governor Andrew Cuomo has said the state’s first vaccine delivery, enough for 170,000 residents, is expected on December 15.
Hopes that the pandemic will finally be brought under control sparked a risk-on rally in currency markets with the Australian and New Zealand dollars advancing. “Currency investors are taking on more risk following the latest vaccine breakthroughs, options show,” Morgan Stanley said in a note.
E-Mini futures for S&P 500 were flat.
In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei was unchanged while South Korea’s Kospi and Australia’s benchmark index were about 0.4% higher each. Chinese shares opened lower, with the blue chip CSI300 index off 0.2%. New Zealand shares were weaker, too.
Overnight, Wall Street eventually ended higher. The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 gained 0.2%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was little changed.
In commodities, oil prices slipped on Thursday as producers, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, locked horns over the need to extend record production cuts set in place in the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. Brent crude was down 9c at $48.16 a barrel while US light crude (WTI) eased 14c to $45.14.
Gold was up at $1,832.6 an ounce.
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