Asian shares battle to brush off fear of second wave of Covid-19
US S&P 500 futures and Japan’s Nikkei eke out gains as they recover from early losses
Tokyo — US stock futures erased losses and Asian stocks held flat on Monday, trying to shake off worries that rising coronavirus cases in the US could scupper a quick economic rebound from the huge downturn triggered by the pandemic.
US S&P 500 futures rose 0.4%, having erased early losses of 1.05% while Japan’s Nikkei also eked out gains of 0.1%, similarly recovering from early losses.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was almost flat while mainland Chinese stocks ticked up 0.3% to 3½-month highs.
After a brutal sell-off earlier this year, share prices had risen globally over the past three months, helped by huge stimulus worldwide and hopes the worst of the pandemic was over.
“The market is surprisingly resilient. Perhaps many investors think the uptrend is in place. But we need to keep an eye on rising coronavirus infections in some countries,” said Hirokazu Kabeya, chief global strategist at Daiwa Securities.
Highlighting economic challenges from the impact of social restrictions to contain the pandemic, Apple said on Friday it would temporarily shut 11 US stores as coronavirus cases rise in some states, triggering selling in stocks.
Data from Johns Hopkins University shows new US cases on Saturday hit the highest since early May.
“The second wave is becoming a theme for markets. The increase in states such as Florida and South Carolina is big enough to be labelled as second wave,” said Yoshinori Shigemi, global strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management.
“Whether there will be a lockdown may vary depending on region. It will be a tough decision for politicians. But they probably have no other choice if they are running out of hospital beds,” he said.
The pandemic is accelerating globally with the World Health Organisation (WHO) reporting a record increase in global coronavirus cases on Sunday.
“The market has been pricing in a rapid recovery so I doubt there are much upside gains to be made. We now need to see whether the earnings outlook will meet expectations,” said Takuya Hozumi, investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.
The world’s shares are now traded at the most expensive levels since 2002 compared with projected earnings in the coming 12 months.
Investors are also wary of developments in Hong Kong after details of a new security law for the territory showed Beijing will have overarching powers on its enforcement.
China’s top legislative body, the National People’s Congress Standing Committee, will meet on June 28, and the Global Times reported it would likely enact the Hong Kong security law by July 1.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.3% in early trade, underperforming regional markets.
In currencies, major currencies were mostly steady.
The euro traded at $1.1187, near its lowest in nearly three weeks.
The yen changed hands at 106.88 per dollar, not far from a one-month high of 106.58 to the dollar hit earlier this month.
Concerns about the pandemic sent gold 0.8% higher to $1,757.2 per ounce, near its May peak of $1,764.8, which was its strongest since October 2012.
Oil prices firmed slightly on tighter supplies from major producers, but concerns that a record rise in global coronavirus cases could curb a recovery in fuel demand checked gains.
Brent crude rose 0.6% to $42.44 a barrel while US crude was at $40.05 a barrel, up 0.6%.