Global stocks hold close to record highs
Improved data and earnings bolster sentiment, while oil prices rally to their highest in more than a week
London — World stocks held near record highs on Monday as generally better data and earnings bolstered sentiment, while oil prices hit their highest in more than a week after two large crude production bases in Libya began shutting down following a blockade.
European equities opened slightly lower, while US stock futures were down marginally.
Trading was light with US markets closed for the Martin Luther King Jr holiday. Still, the week was expected to bring plenty of direction given central bank meetings, earnings, closely watched business activity data and the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos.
Investors took some money off the table on Monday, but sentiment was supported by signs that the economic outlook has improved, aided by an easing of trade tension between the US and China — the world’s two biggest economies.
“The feel-good factor appears to be driven by a number of factors, including better-than-expected economic data, as well as the dialling back of trade tension between the US and China as the low-hanging fruit of a phase 1 trade deal was being signed off,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets.
“If you also toss into the mix some better-than-expected earnings reports from US banks and other multinationals, it makes a heady cocktail of optimism on which to push stock markets higher.”
MSCI’s s all-country index is up almost 2.5% for the first three weeks of the year and was holding near record highs on Monday along with Wall Street and European benchmark equity indices.
Just three weeks into the new year, the S&P 500 has gained just over 3% and the Nasdaq almost 5%.
In Asia, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was flat having risen to its highest since June 2018. Japan’s Nikkei added 0.2% to be near its highest in 15 months.
Chinese shares stayed strong with the blue-chip CSI300 index rising 0.7%, while China’s yuan hit a new six-month high.
US corporate earnings this week include Netflix, Intel and Texas Instruments, while the European Central Bank, Bank of Canada and Bank of Japan hold policy meetings.
“In 2020 we don’t expect the pace of growth to slow as much as it did last year,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
“Accommodative policy and the reduction of downside risk following the signing of the phase 1 US-China trade deal will help support the economy and risk assets.”
Oil prices rose to their highest in more than a week after two large crude production bases in Libya began shutting down after forces loyal to commander Khalifa Haftar closed a pipeline.
Brent crude futures rose almost 1% to $65.49 a barrel, while US crude jumped 0.8% to $59.02.
In currency markets, a string of mostly solid US data helped underpin the dollar.
Figures on Friday showed US homebuilding surged to a 13-year high in December and a gauge of manufacturing activity rebounded to its highest in eight months.
The dollar last traded at about ¥110.17, not far off an eight-month peak of ¥110.305 last week.
The euro was stuck at $1.1093, while sterling was about 0.25% weaker against the euro and dollar. A string of poor British economic news has fanned speculation about a cut in interest rates soon, weighing on sterling.
Elsewhere, gold was slightly firmer at about $1,560/oz, having hit a seven-year high earlier this month at the height of Iran-US tension.