Gold prices rise to three-month high due to trade tensions
Trade tensions create safe-haven demand for gold as silver hits a one-month high and platinum a near three-week high
Bengaluru — Gold prices rose 1% to a more than three-month high on Wednesday as trade tensions induced safe-haven demand and increased bets on a cut in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve.
Spot gold gained 0.8% to $1,335.82 an ounce at 11.44am GMT, having reached its highest since February 21 at $1,340.08 earlier. US gold futures gained 0.9% to $1,340.50 an ounce.
“A lot of the strength in gold is related to the trade-war tensions, which have been ratcheted up after [US President Donald] Trump’s tariff threats on Mexico,” said Philip Newman, a director at Metals Focus.
As the US’s trade clash with China drags on, Trump’s tariff threat to Mexico added to concerns, drawing investors to safe-haven assets such as gold.
“Earlier this year, when news of the trade war was paramount, we saw dollar strength since investors thought that the main casualties will be the emerging markets,” Newman said. “Now, due to concerns about the global economy, people are viewing that as maybe the next move could be a cut in US rates and that is undermining the dollar.”
The dollar struggled near a seven-week low and now seems to have lost its former appeal as a safe haven, especially as the US Fed reels under consistent pressure from Trump, who has advocated for a rate cut.
On Tuesday, Fed chair Jerome Powell moved away from his “patient” approach and instead acknowledged risks due to trade conflicts, saying the central bank would respond “as appropriate” to the same.
Earlier this week, St Louis Fed president James Bullard said a rate cut “may be warranted soon”. Lower interest rates would support non-yielding bullion.
Shortly after Powell’s statement on Tuesday, data showed new orders for US-made goods fell in April and shipments dropped by the most in two years, raising concerns that the US economy could fall prey to an elongated trade war.
Gold prices have gained over $60 since Trump’s tariff threat on Mexico, with investors selling riskier assets.
The jump in gold prices also saw a 2.2% rise in the holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF), on Monday. It was SPDR’s biggest one-day percentage gain since July 2016.
Silver gained 0.3% to $14.86 an ounce, having touched a one-month high of $14.90, on track for its sixth consecutive session of gains. Platinum rose 1.2% to $825.61 an ounce, having hit $832.63 its highest since May 17, earlier in the session. Palladium fell 0.3% to $1,342.85 an ounce.