World stocks edge up as Apple relief offsets Brexit complications
Investors expecta dovish US Fed rates review as the chances of a no-deal Brexit increase, with eyes also on the upcoming US-China talks
Milan — World stocks edged up and the dollar steadied on Wednesday ahead of policy guidance from the US Federal Reserve, with Apple results providing relief, while market confidence that a no-deal Brexit can be avoided took a hit.
The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, was up 0.08% by 9.09am GMT following gains in Asia overnight and a muted start to trading in Europe. The pan-European STOXX 600 benchmark index was flat.
Investors fretted about the possibility of a no-deal British departure from the EU after UK law makers instructed Prime Minister Theresa May on Tuesday to re-open the treaty she had negotiated with Brussels to replace a controversial Irish border arrangement.
Goldman Sachs upped its no-deal Brexit probability to 15% from 10%, and cut the chance of Brexit not happening at all to 35% from 40%. “Tuesday’s Brexit amendments offered little additional clarity to anyone,” Goldman Sachs analysts wrote.
Worries over a disorderly exit of Britain from the club it joined in 1973 hammered the pound overnight which helped lift the internationally exposed UK top share index by 0.8% in morning deals. Sterling recovered in morning trade to be up 0.3% at $1.3113.
Earlier, Apple results provided some reassurance as the iPhone maker reported sharp growth in its services business. Investors were relieved there was no more bad news after the company shocked financial markets at the start of this month with a revenue warning that sparked fears that US-China trade tensions were taking a toll on the tech sector.
“Apple earnings delivered enough for investors to come back on board,” said Markets.com analyst Neil Wilson. “Although Apple still faces big questions, such as pricing structure, upgrade cycles, FX headwinds and weaker Chinese demand, we did get a positive answer to the key question on whether services margins can help re-rate the stock higher.”
US S&P 500 e-mini futures added 0.2%, while European tech shares were among the best performers in European trading. Luxury stocks, heavily exposed to the Chinese markets, also rose.
Apple CEO Tim Cook said trade tensions between the US and China were easing, lifting the mood before another round of official talks on Wednesday in Washington. The two sides will meet next door to the White House in the highest-level talks since US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping agreed to a 90-day truce in their trade war in December.
“I expect that the Washington summit will help pave the way for an extension of the trade truce. This is also what markets expect and a failure of the talks is not priced in at all,” said Giuseppe Sersale, fund manager at Anthilia Capital.
Expectations from Wednesday’s US Federal Reserve rates review are that policy makers will reinforce their recent dovish stance, given signs of a slowdown in the US economy.
“We believe the Fed is likely to show the flexibility markets are seeking at its upcoming meeting, as it balances still solid domestic economic growth against slower global growth and less significant, but persistent, domestic risks,” said John Lynch, chief investment strategist at LPL Financial.
US interest rate futures are pricing in virtually no change in official rates this year. Investors are looking for hints from Fed chair Jerome Powell on whether he has any inclination to slow the drawdown of the Fed’s balance sheet by up to $50bn a month.
The dollar index, a gauge of its value against six major peers, was flat at 95.797. The Australian dollar surged 0.5% as inflation topped forecasts, while the Chinese yuan reached a six-month high in the offshore market before the trade talks.
In commodities, gold rose 0.2% to eight-and-a-half-month highs of $1,315.3 an ounce, supported by uncertainty over US-China trade relations and expectations the Fed will keep policy on hold.
Oil prices edged up, supported by concerns about supply disruptions following US sanctions on Venezuela’s oil industry but pegged back by a darkening outlook for the global economy.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures added 0.19% at $53.41 a barrel, while Brent crude oil futures added 0.10% at $61.38 a barrel.