Gold is range-bound as all eyes turn to the Fed
Bengaluru — Gold prices drifted in a narrow range on Wednesday as investors awaited cues of the US Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting, where policymakers are expected to raise interest rates for the third time in 2018.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,201.64, as of 3.37am GMT, having moved in a $3 range early Wednesday.
US gold futures climbed 0.1% to $1,206.0/oz.
“People are waiting for cues from the Fed … I think the Fed will stay the course. But they could mention that the trade war [between China and U] could impact growth,” National Australia Bank economist John Sharma said.
The Fed will end its two-day policy meeting later on Wednesday at which it is expected to raise interest rates for the eighth time since late 2015. Investors are also counting on another rate hike before year-end, although the outlook for 2019 is less clear.
“The Fed may incite recent softness in housing and auto sales, as well as a rather mixed ‘Beige Book’ survey out last week that could conceivably justify moderation in its rate outlook,” INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said.
“We think the dollar will weaken post statement, and say this in view of the fact that it has been progressively selling off ahead of the Fed meeting, telling us that investors are likely discounting relatively dovish wording.”
“People are realising that the trade war is likely to continue. It is benefiting the US dollar now, but it could affect the US economy as well, hurting the dollar (and boosting gold)John Sharma
A strong dollar makes dollar-priced gold costlier for non-US investors, while rising US interest rates typically deter investors from buying a non-yielding asset such as gold.
The dollar index, which weighs the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was flat at 94.143.
Gold dropped about 12% since hitting a peak in April, marred by rising US interest rates and a global trade war that has led investors to choose the dollar as a safe haven rather than gold.
“People are realising that the trade war is likely to continue. It is benefiting the US dollar now, but it could affect the US economy as well, hurting the dollar (and boosting gold),” Sharma said.
US President Donald Trump’s top trade official said on Tuesday that changing China’s economic policies to become more market-oriented “is not going to be easy” even with tariffs now in place on $250bn worth of Chinese goods.
Among other precious metals, spot palladium slipped 0.1% to $1,059.65/oz, drifting away from its late-January high of $1,068.50 hit in the previous session.
Silver gained 0.6% to $14.50, hovering near a more than three-week high of $14.56 reached on Tuesday.
Platinum edged 0.1% lower to $821.55/oz.