The rand was relatively calm in midmorning trade on Monday, strengthening slightly against the dollar, off a very low base. The fortunes of the local currency were tied to unpredictable global markets. The fear of a trade war continues to cast a shadow on global markets. "The rand is the most sensitive [emerging-market] currency in the world. [It is] used as a proxy in risk-on/off trade," tweeted Devin Shutte, head of investments at The Robert Group. "As a result it trades a massive 18% of SA GDP in daily forex turnover (while SA trade is less than 1% of global trade volume). Explains why external factors often outweigh fundamentals." The US has threatened to impose another $200bn worth of tariffs on Chinese goods, upping the ante in a trade dispute between the two largest economies. Previously, both countries have imposed $50bn worth of tariffs on each other’s goods. The rand has been caught in the middle of the trade furore, though weak domestic data has also added pressure to the...

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