Crude pulls back on rising US petrol and distillate stockpiles
US crude stockpiles draw more than expected and its petrol stockpiles build unexpectedly; Opec expects oil demand to hit 100-million bpd this year
New York — Crude futures reversed course, moving sharply lower on Thursday after US data showed petrol inventories rose unexpectedly last week, overshadowing a bullish drawdown in crude.
US crude inventories fell more than expected last week as refining runs increased, while petrol and distillate inventories rose, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Thursday.
"The headline crude number has been offset by the products," said Bill Baruch, president of Blue Line Futures in Chicago. "This is not a fundamentally bullish report."
US crude traded down $1.00 at $67.72 a barrel by 3.29pm GMT. Global benchmark Brent traded 85c lower at $76.41 a barrel. Earlier in the session, both contracts had traded higher, encouraged by a weaker dollar and evidence of strong US fuel demand.
Emerging-market stocks, bonds and currencies have plunged in recent weeks in response to financial crises in the likes of Turkey, SA and Venezuela.
"In the last week we’ve seen the focus shift again from supply back to demand and the continued calamity in emerging market stocks, bonds and currencies is weighing on the medium and longer-term demand outlook," said Saxo Bank senior manager Ole Hansen. "We did see quite a lot of momentum last week and then oil was shot down in flames after its failed attempt to break above $80 ... now we have the extra dimension of a spike in oil prices that can only increase the pain [for consumers] and the risk of a slowdown in demand."
The market is already preparing for the loss of at least 1-million barrels per day (bpd) in Iranian crude supplies from early November, when US sanctions against Tehran come into force. The oil price has risen by 3% since the US government announced the sanctions in May.
"The million-dollar question is how much Iranian oil will be lost after November 4 when the second round of sanctions kicks in?" said PVM Oil Associates strategist Tamas Varga. "If it is about 1-million bpd, or more, as expected, the fragile supply/demand balance will be upset and oil prices will stay supported."
Oil cartel Opec said on Wednesday that it expected global oil demand to break through 100-million bpd for the first time this year.
A further risk is seen in Opec-member Venezuela, where a government and political crisis has halved oil production in the past two years to little more than 1-million bpd. David Maher, MD for energy at commodity trading house RCMA Group, said Venezuela’s "declines will continue" as a "lack of cash and infrastructural collapse [are] not easy to fix".