Rand hits best level in a month as emerging markets rally on softer dollar
The rand could be heading for R13.20 to the dollar, as the latter weakens following the release of subdued US wage-growth numbers
The rand firmed 1%, or more than 15c, against the dollar on Monday to reach its best level in a month as renewed risk-on sentiment hit markets on subdued US data.
US data released on Friday reflected tepid wage growth in that economy, making it less likely that the US Federal Reserve would adopt a more aggressive stance on interest rates.
The dollar weakened to just below $1.18 against the euro, with other emerging-market currencies mirroring the rand’s strength. The lira was 1.2% stronger at 4.5221 to the dollar after threatening to weaken above five to the dollar in June.
"The rand’s gains below R13.50 technically created the potential for an attempt on the R13.20 level, but local headlines are likely to continue to weigh on the rand," analysts at Nedbank Corporate and Investment Banking said.
The pound clawed back some gains against the dollar after earlier weakening on the resignation of UK Brexit minister David Davis. The pound was marginally supported on indications that Prime Minister Theresa May’s government was now firmly tilting toward a "soft" Brexit.
However, the pound’s gains were tempered by indications that the Brexit process remained fraught with risks, with much now depending on a more accommodating approach by the EU in negotiations towards the end of the year.
At 3.01pm the rand was at R13.3416 to the dollar from R13.4648 after having reached R13.308 in intraday trade. It was at R15.7167 to the euro from R15.811, and R17.8084 to the pound from R17.9518.
The euro was at $1.1781 from $1.1742.
Local bonds tracked the firmer rand. After hitting 9% earlier in 2018, the benchmark R186 government was last bid at 8.58% from 8.645%, and the R207 at 7.305% from 7.37%.
Foreigners were net buyers of local bonds to the value of R504.9m over the past week, helping to nudge yields lower. Foreigners hold about 40% of South African bonds, due to their high yield and relative stability.
The US 10-year treasury was last seen at 2.8506% from 2.8214%.