The fiscus is likely to suffer a potential revenue shortfall of R18bn in 2025/26 because the National Treasury has overestimated GDP growth in the budget tabled in parliament recently by finance minister Enoch Godongwana. 

Such a shortfall would require the Treasury to look at further tax increases or stringent expenditure cuts if it was to remain committed to its fiscal consolidation and debt reduction strategy. It would also probably mean the implementation of the 0.5 percentage point VAT increase in 2026 that Godongwana has said would not be necessary if there was sufficient economic growth. ..

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