The retail sector trumped economists’ expectations and experienced a boost in August that could help the economy emerge out of the recession. Retail trade sales increased 2.5% year on year in August (R86.7bn) following a 1.3% lift in July (R82.2bn). A Bloomberg survey of economists expected a 0.1% contraction. The retail sector is an important indicator of consumer spending that accounts for about 60% of GDP and drives growth in the economy. The sector has been knocked hard in recent months by a weaker rand and higher oil price that has cut into disposable income. The growth figures in the sector so far in the third quarter are in stark contrast to the weak performance in the second quarter of the year that contributed to SA’s descent into a recession for the first time since the global financial crisis. Barring a shock in September, the sector should make a modest contribution to third-quarter growth. “If [growth is] sustained, it will bode well for the overall economy lifting out ...

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