Fitch has re-affirmed SA’s status at sub-investment grade with a stable outlook. In a crunch week for the three major credit ratings agencies, Fitch’s outlook comes a day before S&P Global Ratings and Moody’s are scheduled to make announcements. Fitch is the only of the three ratings agencies that already has SA local and foreign debt in junk territory. In a statement on Thursday, Fitch said: “SA’s ratings are weighed down by low trend growth, sizeable government debt, and contingent liabilities and deteriorating governance standards.” Despite this, it added: “These weaknesses are balanced by a favourable government debt structure, deep local capital markets, and a flexible exchange rate that helps absorb external shocks.” This affirms that while SA has a weaker fiscal outlook and consequent faster pace of debt accumulation, potential fiscal consolidation measures after the ANC’s elective conference in December could work in SA’s favour, while GDP growth is also expected to recover ...

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