SA’s widening budget deficit is going to cost it. Just how much, Treasury will find out when it holds its biggest auction yet of local-currency debt on Tuesday. Benchmark 10-year yields have climbed more than 60 basis points since October 24, the day before Finance Minister Malusi Gigaba said the government would need to raise an additional R122bn of debt over the next three years to plug a yawning fiscal shortfall. That means increasing the amount of notes offered at the weekly fixed-rate auction to R3.3bn going forward, from R2.65bn previously. With Moody’s Investors Service and S&P Global Ratings preparing to review SA’s credit assessments next week, investors are already on edge. To make matters worse, 10-year yields jumped on Monday to their highest since 2016 after the head of the Treasury’s budget office, Michael Sachs, resigned amid speculation that President Jacob Zuma is plotting to override the Treasury to implement a costly plan for free university education. While a fai...

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