Singapore — Iron ore has a very tough act to follow in 2017. After surging in 2016 in a rally that caught out many investors, the commodity faces a challenge as supply concerns re-emerge, with Vale bringing on the industry’s biggest project and holdings at China’s ports at a record. Seaborne supply is expected to remain strong on shipments from Vale’s new S11D project in Brazil, and as miners look to take advantage of prices, said Tan Hui Heng, a Singapore-based analyst at Marex Spectron. That, coupled with slowing demand, could hurt iron ore, he said, joining banks including Morgan Stanley in expecting a retreat. On Tuesday, futures in China sank to the lowest close in eight weeks. Iron ore soared 81% in 2016 in a year when low-cost supply had been expected to rise further amid tepid consumption, hurting prices. Instead, stimulus in China helped sustain steel output, and that, with speculative interest and record coal prices, fuelled the rally. Better demand and a more restrained a...

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