Glencore’s all about oil right now, from crude to Extra Virgin
London — Glencore’s got oil trading covered these days, from the crude that drives the global economy to the dressing for your side salad.
The world’s biggest commodity trader which shocked energy market watchers this month with an $11bn investment with partner Qatar in Russian oil producer Rosneft, has been working at the other end of the scale by quietly building a two-person desk trading olive oil in Madrid.
Glencore is better known in commodities for dealing in big markets such as coal, copper, crude and wheat. But the Zug, Switzerland-based company also trades niche products from vanadium to chickpeas. The olive oil desk opened in the capital of the largest producer of the commodity about 18 months ago.
While a spokesman for Glencore confirmed the information, the business is so small it does not rate a mention on the company website.
Yet there is money to be made from trading in increasingly volatile markets for the Mediterranean staple as olive trees have been affected by more erratic weather in recent years, including droughts and downpours, and pest outbreaks.
World prices surged in 2015 to the highest in almost 20 years before sinking this year. Demand is also growing for the oil, known for its health benefits, in emerging markets from China to Russia and Brazil.
"Volatility has increased in the most recent years because of weather problems," said Vito Martielli, an analyst at Rabobank International in Utrecht.
"We’ve seen a couple of price spikes in the last couple of years, more frequent than what we used to see."
Interruptions in supply seen every six to seven years in earlier decades are becoming more frequent because of bad weather, while demand is set to outpace production, according to the bank. Unstable weather has affected the most important producing countries three times in the last five years, leading to supply shocks, it said.
Poor weather and pests in southern Europe mean output in the season that’s just started may fall 14% to 2.7 million tonnes, the International Olive Council forecasts. Spanish production, accounting for more than 40% of world supply, will drop 6%, Italian 49% and Greek 19%, the Madrid-based organisation says.
Prices of extra virgin olive oil in southern Spain have rallied since the start of November to €3,271.75/tonne as floods damaged groves in Andalusia, the main producing region. They have gained almost 50% in the past two years.
Still, olive oil trading remains a niche that has not developed a futures market like those for soybean oil and palm oil. Spain tried to build such a market in Jaen, the Andalusian town known as the olive oil capital, from 2004 but it closed this year with limp volumes.
While the biggest agricultural traders including Archer-Daniels-Midland, Bunge and Cargill have been involved in the olive oil market, most are focused on bottling, not trading. Bunge said this month it will buy a Turkish company to diversify into higher-value olive oil.
With global output of about 3-million tonnes, the industry is dwarfed by palm oil and soy oil production, both about 20 times larger.
"We cannot ignore olive oil," Henri Rieux, a spokesman for Bunge, said.
"The consumers are very fanatical about it."