Frankfurt/Davos/Paris — Frankfurt and Paris are set to see a trickle rather than a wave of London bankers arrive in 2018, with the prospect of a softer Brexit discouraging them from leaving Britain immediately, executives and lobbyists say. Both cities had been positioned to benefit as Britain prepares to leave the EU, prompting London banks to seek a foothold elsewhere in order to continue taking full advantage of the EU single market. But conciliatory signals from British Prime Minister Theresa May and progress in talks with Michel Barnier, the European Commission’s chief negotiator, have prompted some banks to delay large staff moves, at least for now. Frankfurt’s chief promoter, Hubertus Vaeth, had expected up to 6,000 arrivals in Germany’s financial capital in 2018 in the event of a hard Brexit. He said he had now pared back that assessment to less than 1,000.

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