Lyft’s shares fall as guidance for 2020 disappoints investors
The ride-hailing company has been punished for not promising profits sooner
San Francisco — Lyft’s quarterly results and guidance for 2020 disappointed investors who punished the ride-hailing company for not promising profits sooner. The shares dropped more than 5% in extended trading.
Lyft’s results came a few days after larger rival Uber Technologies reported quarterly numbers that blew past analysts’ expectations and announced that it was moving up its target for profitability. The news sent Uber’s stock price soaring.
Lyft didnot provide updated guidance on turning a profit. Late in 2019, the company said it would be profitable on an adjusted basis by the fourth quarter of 2021. The stock slipped to as low as $50.82 in extended trading, after closing at $53.94 earlier in New York. Lyft’s rally of more than 25% in 2020 — along with Uber’s recent results — raised the bar for Tuesday’s report.
While Lyft is Uber’s chief competitor, the two businesses are different. Lyft operates only in North America, while Uber’s business includes overseas markets, food delivery and new ventures such as helicopter rides and matching job candidates with short-term work.
“Lyft seemed super, super confident with the guidance they did provide,” said Tom White, an analyst at DA Davidson. “Uber has a more aggressive timeline,” he said, but added that Uber “made some assumptions”, such as planned reductions in price discounts, while making those projections.
Lyft said revenue for the three months ending December 31 jumped 52% to $1.02bn from the same period a year ago. Analysts had expected revenue of $985.8m. The company narrowed its adjusted net loss, which excludes stock-based compensation, acquisition expenses and other costs, to $121.4m during the fourth quarter, compared with $238.5m for the same period a year earlier. Analysts had expected an adjusted loss of $161.9m, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“In 2020 we expect strong top line growth as well as important progress on our path to profitability,” Lyft CFO Brian Roberts said in an interview on Tuesday.
Unlike Uber, Lyft has focused solely on mobility, a category that includes ride-hailing, electric bikes, scooters and integration with public transit. The company’s strategy has been to move further into existing markets to capture more active riders and increase how much they spend on Lyft services.
In recent months, the company has added public transit options to its app, introduced monthly subscriptions and offered an option to decrease ride costs by scheduling pickup a few blocks away. Last year was the first time the company had combined all mobility options on its app, a strategy designed to drive greater revenue per rider in 2020.
In the fourth quarter, Lyft increased its number of active riders 23% to 22.9-million, slightly outpacing analysts’ estimates of 22.8-million. Revenue from each active rider increased 23% to $44.40, again slightly beating analysts’ estimate of $43.16.
Like Uber, Lyft is trying to focus on profitable growth by curtailing the discounts and incentives it initially used to hook new riders and drivers. The San Francisco-based company has also sought to trim costs. Last month it said it would cut 90 jobs as part of a larger restructuring effort.
For 2020, Lyft said it expects to generate $4.58bn to $4.65bn in revenue and projected that it will narrow its losses before interest, taxes and other expenses to $450m to $490m, from $678.9m in 2019.
Some analysts have flagged a new California law reclassifying many gig economy workers as employees as a risk for Lyft, Uber and others, potentially triggering price hikes estimated to be as high as 30%.
Roberts waved off concerns about the law’s impact, saying Lyft was “100% focused” on putting an alternative measure on the November ballot and has already helped collect 325,000 of the 500,000 signatures required by May to qualify.
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