Tencent drops out of global top 10 after $200bn rout
The Chinese internet giant has lost more than any other company in the world, enabling ExxonMobil to knock it out of the top 10
Hong Kong — More bad news for Tencent: the Chinese internet giant has lost its spot as one of the world’s 10 biggest companies.
After shedding more than $200bn in market value this year, more than any other company worldwide, Tencent has been replaced by Exxon Mobil in the top of the rankings based on market capitalisation.
When its share price hit a record high in January, the Shenzhen-based company was in the top five along with Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon.com.
By the end of January 2018, Tencent — which is 31% owned by JSE-listed Naspers — had returned more than 67,000% from its initial public offering.
But it turned south this year on a run of bad news including a rare drop in profit and a regulatory crackdown on gaming in China.
Tencent has tumbled nearly 40% in Hong Kong since January 23, and fell for a ninth straight day on Wednesday, on track for its worst run since its 2004 listing. It was down 0.9% at 1.42pm in Hong Kong.
Mitchell Green, Santa Barbara-based founding partner of Lead Edge Capital which manages $1.5bn of assets, said the selloff could continue as investors panic.
Tencent’s market cap is now $353bn, while Exxon Mobil’s is $365bn.
The stock has been mired in a downtrend for a record 259 calendar days. It has never fared worse relative to global technology shares.
Fall of a giant
While Tencent’s hugely popular online games, WeChat messaging service and budding finance business made it a favourite of institutional and individual investors, sentiment has soured after the onslaught of bad news.
The first blow came almost nine months ago, when global concerns over frothy tech valuations dragged down Tencent and many of its peers. In March, losses accelerated after Tencent warned of weaker margins and one of the company’s oldest shareholders said it was unloading a nearly $11bn stake.
That was followed by a wave of selling from Chinese investors, Tencent’s first profit drop in at least a decade, and a regulatory bottleneck on game approvals in China.
The stock, which commands the biggest weighting in MSCI’s global emerging markets index, has taken another beating in recent days amid worries about slowing Chinese growth and a weaker yuan. It fell 1.7% to HK$293.80 ($37.52) on Tuesday, its lowest close since July 2017.
One group is sticking with Tencent despite 2018’s travails: sell-side analysts. All but one of the 49 forecasters tracked by Bloomberg has the equivalent of a buy rating on the stock, with the consensus 12-month price target implying a 52% rebound.
But given that those same analysts failed to predict the current selloff, investors may want to think twice about buying now.
Even after its slump, Tencent is trading at 25 times projected earnings over the next 12 months. That compares with multiples closer to 20 when the shares bottomed after major declines in 2011 and 2008.