After putting on an exceptional showing last year, bonds have got off to a solid start in 2017. The JSE all bond index (Albi) delivered a total return of 2.3% in the first three weeks of January. Bonds were the place to be in 2016, with the Albi crossing the finishing line sporting a total return of 15.4%. The JSE all share index managed no more than a 5.5% total return. A repeat of last year’s winning performance from bonds is far from certain, though. “Bond yields started 2016 from high levels,” cautions Albert Botha, an Ashburton Investments fixed income portfolio manager. As always, it is important to remember that when bond yields rise their underlying prices fall. When their yields fall, bond prices rise. The headstart enjoyed by bonds in 2016 came courtesy of President Jacob Zuma’s firing of finance minister Nhlanhla Nene in December 2015. Zuma’s action resulted in SA having three finance ministers in four days and made the yield on the key R186 10-year government bond jump f...

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