From The Art of Speculation by Philip Carret (first published in 1930): Even in the highest-grade securities there is a certain inescapable speculative risk. It is not decreased by burying one’s head in the sand like an ostrich and saying, "I never speculate." During a period of persistently declining prices a novice asked Russell Sage whether he thought stocks would rally. "They always have," was the laconic answer. Reference has already been made to the timidity of the average trader in the face of a profit, his stubbornness when faced with a loss. The explanation is probably to be found in the tardiness with which the mind adjusts itself to changing ideas of value.

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